Singularity
The common definition is of a technological singularity, a time when artificial intelligence will have progressed to the point of a greater-than-human intelligence. The Binding Chaos series refers to social or societal singularities to describe society that is already far too complex and requires too much information processing for individual comprehension to be attainable. We now require mass collaboration to understand any aspect of society or to be able to rationally govern ourselves.
Expanded explanation
Marsh takes a term about the future and applies it to a condition she says already holds. The technological version concerns a point at which machine intelligence exceeds human intelligence. The social version concerns a point at which society exceeds individual comprehension, and the claim is that this has happened rather than that it might. Nothing needs to be invented for the threshold to be crossed, since complexity and the volume of information required to understand any aspect of society are already past what one person can process. The consequence is what makes the entry structural rather than observational. If no individual can comprehend the system, then no individual can competently govern it, and any arrangement that assigns decisions to individuals is assigning them to people who cannot understand what they are deciding. That is a stronger objection to representative democracy than the ones about charisma and land mass, because it does not depend on the representatives being poorly chosen. Mass collaboration is the only remaining route, which is why the framework's governance proposals are all collaborative rather than corrective. Epistemic communities gather expertise that no individual holds, knowledge bridges make it auditable across levels, concentric circles amplify without conferring command and stigmergy coordinates work nobody is directing. The singularity is the premise those mechanisms answer rather than one problem among several.
In Heather Marsh’s words
Marsh applies the term to a threshold she says has already been crossed rather than to one that is coming.
“We now require mass collaboration to understand any aspect of society”
Abstracting Divinity
Examples
- Already crossed
- The claim is about a present condition rather than a prediction, since complexity has already exceeded individual comprehension.
- Why representation fails harder
- If no individual can understand the system, choosing better representatives does not help.
- The premise behind the proposals
- Epistemic communities, knowledge bridges and stigmergy all answer this condition rather than separate problems.
How others use it
The technological singularity is associated with Vernor Vinge and Ray Kurzweil and concerns recursively self-improving machine intelligence. Marsh's social version has different antecedents. Friedrich Hayek's knowledge problem argued that no central planner can hold the information a society generates, though he concluded that markets should coordinate rather than that collaboration should. Herbert Simon's bounded rationality and the literature on collective intelligence both address the gap between individual capacity and system complexity. Marsh's conclusion diverges from Hayek's on the same premise, since she reads the knowledge problem as an argument for structured mass collaboration rather than for price signals.
Sources
Defined in the Binding Chaos series glossary, with the collaboration argument set out in Binding Chaos.
Recommended reading path
Then read in full: Abstracting Divinity.
A suggested order for exploring this corner of the theory.