Skip to content
Binding Chaos
Governance

The Duchin Formula

Updated August 5, 2026

The Duchin formula divides activists into four types: radicals, idealists, realists and opportunists.

Expanded explanation

The formula was outlined in a 1991 speech by Ronald Duchin and taught corporations how to dismantle activist organizations. The strategy predates the speech and has been used by many corporate and government bodies including Stratfor, and it became widely known to activists through the Stratfor hack, the material released after Jeremy Hammond was coerced into targeting the company by the FBI posing as Anonymous. His activism resulted in a 10 year prison sentence. The instruction is three steps and an outcome. Isolate the radicals. Cultivate the idealists and educate them into becoming realists. Co-opt the realists into agreeing with industry. Duchin's own summary of the result is that if an industry brings about these relationships the credibility of the radicals is lost and the opportunists can be counted on to share in the final policy solution. Marsh's contribution is to re-read the taxonomy in her own terms, which collapses it from four categories to three. Radicals are the genuine activists. Opportunists are endo-ideals, created by their reflectors and reliably self-interested. Idealists and realists are one category, both reflectors, differing only in whether they currently reflect the radical idea or corporate and government power, which is exactly why the conversion the formula recommends is possible. She points to the strategies in daily use. Opportunists are promoted through advances, awards, positions and funding, and realists are co-opted through recognition rather than payment.

In Heather Marsh’s words

Marsh collapses an opponent's four categories into three, since two of them describe one role facing different directions.

“This formula taught corporations how to dismantle activist organizations”

Stigmergy

Examples

Three steps and an outcome
Isolate, convert, co-opt, and the opportunists then share in whatever policy results.
Four categories become three
Idealist and realist are one reflector role, which is why converting between them requires no change of conviction.
How it is executed
Opportunists are promoted with advances, awards and positions, and realists are paid in recognition rather than money.

How others use it

The formula circulated widely among activists after the 2012 Stratfor release and appears in research on corporate counter-campaigning alongside the Powell memorandum and a long history of public relations strategy against environmental and labour movements. Social movement scholarship covers the same dynamics under co-optation, channelling and the professionalization of advocacy. Astroturfing and SLAPP literature documents adjacent tactics. What Marsh adds is a structural reading, since translating the categories into endo-ideal and reflector roles turns a list of personality types an organizer must sort people into a description of positions people occupy and can be moved between.

Sources

Sourced from the sabotage material of Stigmergy: How to Create a Mass Movement.

Recommended reading path

Then read in full: Stigmergy: How to Create a Mass Movement.

A suggested order for exploring this corner of the theory.